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2.09.2005

Dick Morris: "Rice candidacy would destroy the electoral chances of the Democratic Party"

Condi Rice for President? I'd vote for her.

Dick Morris' new column takes the point of view that Hillary will be a very formidable opponent in '08, and I think he's right on that account. His solution? Condolezza Rice.

Morris' characterization of Secretary Rice certainly fits her,
America’s first black female secretary of state is doing in public what she has always done in private — speaking frankly about America’s priorities and the realities of the post-Cold War world. As she jokes with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, loosening up his dogmatic anti-American policies, lectures Russia about freedom and warns Israel of tough decisions ahead, one thing is obvious: A star is being born.
The meat of his argument however is in the demographic matchup that a Hillary-Condi race would set up. Because you would have a liberal woman running against a black conservative woman the normal demographic voting patterns may just fly out the window.
The political fact is that a Rice candidacy would destroy the electoral chances of the Democratic Party by undermining its demographic base. John Kerry got 54 percent of his vote from three groups that, together, account for about a third of the American electorate: African-Americans, Hispanics and single white women. Rice would cut deeply into any Democrat’s margin among these three groups and would, most especially, deny Clinton the strong support she would otherwise receive from each of them.

Make no mistake, a female GOP candidate could face some troubles in the primaries, but Rice is perfectly situated to placate the right while appealing to the moderates and centrists in this country.
As a social conservative and deeply religious person, she would face no bar in winning the votes of the Christian right, so crucial to winning the Republican nomination. Unlike former New York Mayor Rudy Guiliani[sic] (R) and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) — both of whom could probably win in November — she would be very attractive to the pro-life, anti-gun-control, anti-affirmative-action base of the GOP.
When the religious right and gun advocates step into the primary booth and their choices are Rice, McCain, and Giuliani who do you think most would vote for? And Morris' final point may very well be the one that could put her over the top,
America longs to put the period on the disgraceful chapter in our nation’s history that began when the first slave arrived at Jamestown, Va., more than 400 years ago. We also want to send a message to every girl, and every African-American or Hispanic baby, that there is no ceiling and that you can rise as far as your ability will carry you. The day Condi Rice is sworn in as president, regardless of the fate of her administration, that message and the punctuation of our history of racism will be obvious.

Bottom Line: Rice could be a very viable candidate in the national election against Hillary, if the GOP will nominate a woman. I think the time is coming, will it be here in 3 years? We'll see.

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7 Comments:

  • Condi is not a dynamic personality at all. She has a ton of lies that are following her around which will make a slew of attack ads very easy to put together. Is America going to elect a female president yet? Being black and female is a double whammy! I think this is one of the top ten most idiotic things to come out of Dick Morris in ... oh, a couple of hours! Put her in a Web Poll you'll see I'm right. Gallup just did a poll for the next presidential election and Giuliani and McCain got the highest totals w/ around 24% a piece. You think Condi has more popularity than any of these guys? guess again!

    By Blogger toc001, at 6:32 AM  

  • Dick Morris makes me want to go and wash my hands, but he is right (both politically and in this opinion)
    btw, why in the world are most folks of the liberal persuasion so incredibly ugly acting concerning conservatives generally and especially the president?
    Yes, Rush is a pompous arrogant jerk but have you heard the Randi lady over on the liberal talk radio. She makes Rush sound reasonable.
    I am truly amazed by the hatred on the left. It is sad.

    By Blogger Carlos, at 3:22 PM  

  • "I believe the title of the PDB was 'Bin Laden determined to strike within the United States'".

    I admit Randi is "ugly acting" often. But this is not something those of the "liberal persuasion" have a monopoly on. Especially on Clinton or Kerry see Hannity, Colter, Ingraham.

    By Blogger Jim, at 12:11 AM  

  • Condi "is doing in public what she has always done in private - speaking frankly about America’'s priorities and the realities of the post-Cold War world." For the first nine months of her tenure as National Security Advisor, her priority was a missile defense system. She ignored the known threat of Al Qaeda and terrorism, most likely because that's what the Clinton administration said would be the new administration's top concern. [See Augst 6, 2001 Presidential Daily Briefing]

    Who would be the "First Gentleman?"

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